Playoff odds are calculated by generating 250 Monte Carlo simulations and comparing the results.
You can choose a different n by selecting one of these options:
You can also edit the n_simulations= value in the URL.
However, the more simulations that are run, the longer the page will take to load.
Playoff simulation
Team
Owner
Projected Wins
Projected Losses
Projected Ties
Projected Points For
Playoff Odds
Tua Good For You
Ryan Takayama
11.0
3.0
0.0
1922.8
100.0%
Regionals Level Team
Dan Wang
10.0
4.0
0.0
2003.9
100.0%
Best 2022 team
Kyle Glanzmann
10.0
4.0
0.0
1975.8
100.0%
12-19, and 17-23
Ryan Schoenfeld
9.0
5.0
0.0
1935.5
100.0%
Best 2023 Team
Raymond Lopez
8.0
6.0
0.0
1885.8
100.0%
Schoen You How Its Done
Pete Marshall
7.0
7.0
0.0
1857.9
100.0%
Better Luck Next Year
Warren Kinson
7.0
7.0
0.0
1753.7
0.0%
Taylor Swift's boyfriend's team
Megan Farrell
6.0
8.0
0.0
1714.7
0.0%
Leave me aloneš„¹
Moeses Chavez
6.0
8.0
0.0
1700.4
0.0%
Waddle it be Jeffrey???
Brent Moore
4.0
10.0
0.0
1610.2
0.0%
Kirk's memorial team
Thomas Fiock
3.0
11.0
0.0
1468.5
0.0%
Jolly Jellyfish
Spencer Lee
3.0
11.0
0.0
1350.7
0.0%
Note that for this league, 6 teams make the playoffs. All playoff odds are based on simulation results alone. Values of 0% or 100% do not necessarily mean that a team has been mathematically eliminated or clinched a playoff spot.
Final position distribution
Team
Owner
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
10th
11th
12th
Playoff Odds
Tua Good For You
Ryan Takayama
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Regionals Level Team
Dan Wang
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Best 2022 team
Kyle Glanzmann
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
12-19, and 17-23
Ryan Schoenfeld
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Best 2023 Team
Raymond Lopez
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Schoen You How Its Done
Pete Marshall
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Better Luck Next Year
Warren Kinson
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Taylor Swift's boyfriend's team
Megan Farrell
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Leave me aloneš„¹
Moeses Chavez
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Waddle it be Jeffrey???
Brent Moore
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Kirk's memorial team
Thomas Fiock
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Jolly Jellyfish
Spencer Lee
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
Note that for this league, 6 teams make the playoffs. All playoff odds are based on simulation results alone. Values of 0% or 100% do not necessarily mean that a team has been mathematically eliminated or clinched a playoff spot.
Seeding outcomes
Team
Owner
1st overall
1st in division
Make playoffs
Last in division
Last overall
Tua Good For You
Ryan Takayama
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Regionals Level Team
Dan Wang
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Best 2022 team
Kyle Glanzmann
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Schoen You How Its Done
Pete Marshall
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Best 2023 Team
Raymond Lopez
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
12-19, and 17-23
Ryan Schoenfeld
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Waddle it be Jeffrey???
Brent Moore
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Taylor Swift's boyfriend's team
Megan Farrell
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Leave me aloneš„¹
Moeses Chavez
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Kirk's memorial team
Thomas Fiock
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Better Luck Next Year
Warren Kinson
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Jolly Jellyfish
Spencer Lee
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Note that for this league, 6 teams make the playoffs. All playoff odds are based on simulation results alone. Values of 0% or 100% do not necessarily mean that a team has been mathematically eliminated or clinched a playoff spot.
Remaining strength of schedule (for Weeks 0-0)
Team
Owner
Blended difficulty
Opp's Points For
Opp's Win %
Opp's Power Ranking
12-19, and 17-23
Ryan Schoenfeld
41.1
0.0
0.000
0.0
Regionals Level Team
Dan Wang
41.1
0.0
0.000
0.0
Taylor Swift's boyfriend's team
Megan Farrell
41.1
0.0
0.000
0.0
Best 2023 Team
Raymond Lopez
41.1
0.0
0.000
0.0
Waddle it be Jeffrey???
Brent Moore
41.1
0.0
0.000
0.0
Better Luck Next Year
Warren Kinson
41.1
0.0
0.000
0.0
Kirk's memorial team
Thomas Fiock
41.1
0.0
0.000
0.0
Jolly Jellyfish
Spencer Lee
41.1
0.0
0.000
0.0
Tua Good For You
Ryan Takayama
41.1
0.0
0.000
0.0
Leave me aloneš„¹
Moeses Chavez
41.1
0.0
0.000
0.0
Schoen You How Its Done
Pete Marshall
41.1
0.0
0.000
0.0
Best 2022 team
Kyle Glanzmann
41.1
0.0
0.000
0.0
Blended difficulty accounts for the points for, winning %, and power ranking of each team's remaining opponents.
Each team's schedule is then compared to the hardest and easiest possible schedule.
