Playoff odds are calculated by generating 250 Monte Carlo simulations and comparing the results.
You can choose a different n by selecting one of these options:
You can also edit the n_simulations= value in the URL.
However, the more simulations that are run, the longer the page will take to load.
Playoff simulation
Team
Owner
Projected Wins
Projected Losses
Projected Ties
Projected Points For
Playoff Odds
Lord of the Zero Rings
Aj Castellucci
11.0
3.0
0.0
1758.6
100.0%
The Two Bowers
Devin Sadakierski
10.0
4.0
0.0
1818.7
100.0%
Rich Eisengard
Dallis Guillemin
10.0
4.0
0.0
1754.8
100.0%
Helm's Deep Sleepers
Mac Jones
9.0
5.0
0.0
1892.1
100.0%
Run the Balrog
Ryan Paulik
9.0
5.0
0.0
1543.9
100.0%
Riders of Jahan
Andrew Kim
8.0
6.0
0.0
1733.0
100.0%
Pelennor Field Goals
Derik Norrgard
7.0
7.0
0.0
1701.2
0.0%
Lord Kenethor III
Kyle Blake
5.0
9.0
0.0
1731.2
0.0%
Whats Golden Taters, Precious?
Timothy Santoro
5.0
9.0
0.0
1505.1
0.0%
The Fellowship of the Ring
Dan Miner
4.0
10.0
0.0
1496.3
0.0%
The Prancing Ponies
Shane Brown
3.0
11.0
0.0
1376.6
0.0%
Return of the King Henry
Dustin Guillemin
3.0
11.0
0.0
1355.2
0.0%
Note that for this league, 6 teams make the playoffs. All playoff odds are based on simulation results alone. Values of 0% or 100% do not necessarily mean that a team has been mathematically eliminated or clinched a playoff spot.
Final position distribution
Team
Owner
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
10th
11th
12th
Playoff Odds
Lord of the Zero Rings
Aj Castellucci
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
The Two Bowers
Devin Sadakierski
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Rich Eisengard
Dallis Guillemin
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Helm's Deep Sleepers
Mac Jones
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Run the Balrog
Ryan Paulik
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Riders of Jahan
Andrew Kim
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Pelennor Field Goals
Derik Norrgard
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Lord Kenethor III
Kyle Blake
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Whats Golden Taters, Precious?
Timothy Santoro
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
The Fellowship of the Ring
Dan Miner
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
The Prancing Ponies
Shane Brown
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Return of the King Henry
Dustin Guillemin
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
Note that for this league, 6 teams make the playoffs. All playoff odds are based on simulation results alone. Values of 0% or 100% do not necessarily mean that a team has been mathematically eliminated or clinched a playoff spot.
Seeding outcomes
Team
Owner
1st overall
1st in division
Make playoffs
Last in division
Last overall
Lord of the Zero Rings
Aj Castellucci
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
The Two Bowers
Devin Sadakierski
0.0%
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Helm's Deep Sleepers
Mac Jones
0.0%
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Riders of Jahan
Andrew Kim
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Rich Eisengard
Dallis Guillemin
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Run the Balrog
Ryan Paulik
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
The Fellowship of the Ring
Dan Miner
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Pelennor Field Goals
Derik Norrgard
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Whats Golden Taters, Precious?
Timothy Santoro
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Lord Kenethor III
Kyle Blake
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
The Prancing Ponies
Shane Brown
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
Return of the King Henry
Dustin Guillemin
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Note that for this league, 6 teams make the playoffs. All playoff odds are based on simulation results alone. Values of 0% or 100% do not necessarily mean that a team has been mathematically eliminated or clinched a playoff spot.
Remaining strength of schedule (for Weeks 0-0)
Team
Owner
Blended difficulty
Opp's Points For
Opp's Win %
Opp's Power Ranking
Rich Eisengard
Dallis Guillemin
40.8
0.0
0.000
0.0
Whats Golden Taters, Precious?
Timothy Santoro
40.8
0.0
0.000
0.0
Lord of the Zero Rings
Aj Castellucci
40.8
0.0
0.000
0.0
Lord Kenethor III
Kyle Blake
40.8
0.0
0.000
0.0
Riders of Jahan
Andrew Kim
40.8
0.0
0.000
0.0
Return of the King Henry
Dustin Guillemin
40.8
0.0
0.000
0.0
The Prancing Ponies
Shane Brown
40.8
0.0
0.000
0.0
Helm's Deep Sleepers
Mac Jones
40.8
0.0
0.000
0.0
Run the Balrog
Ryan Paulik
40.8
0.0
0.000
0.0
The Two Bowers
Devin Sadakierski
40.8
0.0
0.000
0.0
The Fellowship of the Ring
Dan Miner
40.8
0.0
0.000
0.0
Pelennor Field Goals
Derik Norrgard
40.8
0.0
0.000
0.0
Blended difficulty accounts for the points for, winning %, and power ranking of each team's remaining opponents.
Each team's schedule is then compared to the hardest and easiest possible schedule.
