Playoff odds are calculated by generating 250 Monte Carlo simulations and comparing the results.
You can choose a different n by selecting one of these options:
You can also edit the n_simulations= value in the URL.
However, the more simulations that are run, the longer the page will take to load.
Playoff simulation
Team
Owner
Projected Wins
Projected Losses
Projected Ties
Projected Points For
Playoff Odds
JA-MARR You Gonna Show Up?!
Matt Nigh
12.0
2.0
0.0
1737.3
100.0%
Coffin Dodgers
Dan Costello
11.0
3.0
0.0
1600.3
100.0%
You Got A Purdy Mouth
Blake Thompson
11.0
3.0
0.0
1583.5
100.0%
Off to your Mom
Christian Berens
7.0
7.0
0.0
1547.0
100.0%
Born Again Christian
Josh Essner
7.0
7.0
0.0
1356.8
100.0%
Earlobe Hunter
Derek Ruth
6.0
8.0
0.0
1526.5
100.0%
I have Downs!
Eric Bandy
6.0
8.0
0.0
1469.7
0.0%
ElizondoHerbert MtnDewCamacho
Ryan P
6.0
8.0
0.0
1400.2
0.0%
Ashtray Assassins
Adam Fenwick
6.0
8.0
0.0
1388.5
0.0%
It Hurts
Carl Nigh
5.0
9.0
0.0
1364.4
0.0%
'Stache Bash
Lonnie Molskness
5.0
9.0
0.0
1339.7
0.0%
Just take a look at it!
Jon Liebman
2.0
12.0
0.0
1310.5
0.0%
Note that for this league, 6 teams make the playoffs. All playoff odds are based on simulation results alone. Values of 0% or 100% do not necessarily mean that a team has been mathematically eliminated or clinched a playoff spot.
Final position distribution
Team
Owner
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
10th
11th
12th
Playoff Odds
JA-MARR You Gonna Show Up?!
Matt Nigh
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Coffin Dodgers
Dan Costello
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
You Got A Purdy Mouth
Blake Thompson
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Off to your Mom
Christian Berens
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Born Again Christian
Josh Essner
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Earlobe Hunter
Derek Ruth
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
I have Downs!
Eric Bandy
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
ElizondoHerbert MtnDewCamacho
Ryan P
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Ashtray Assassins
Adam Fenwick
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
It Hurts
Carl Nigh
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
'Stache Bash
Lonnie Molskness
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Just take a look at it!
Jon Liebman
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
Note that for this league, 6 teams make the playoffs. All playoff odds are based on simulation results alone. Values of 0% or 100% do not necessarily mean that a team has been mathematically eliminated or clinched a playoff spot.
Seeding outcomes
Team
Owner
1st overall
1st in division
Make playoffs
Last in division
Last overall
JA-MARR You Gonna Show Up?!
Matt Nigh
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
You Got A Purdy Mouth
Blake Thompson
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Off to your Mom
Christian Berens
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Coffin Dodgers
Dan Costello
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Earlobe Hunter
Derek Ruth
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Born Again Christian
Josh Essner
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Ashtray Assassins
Adam Fenwick
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
It Hurts
Carl Nigh
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
I have Downs!
Eric Bandy
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
'Stache Bash
Lonnie Molskness
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
ElizondoHerbert MtnDewCamacho
Ryan P
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Just take a look at it!
Jon Liebman
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Note that for this league, 6 teams make the playoffs. All playoff odds are based on simulation results alone. Values of 0% or 100% do not necessarily mean that a team has been mathematically eliminated or clinched a playoff spot.
Remaining strength of schedule (for Weeks 0-0)
Team
Owner
Blended difficulty
Opp's Points For
Opp's Win %
Opp's Power Ranking
Earlobe Hunter
Derek Ruth
38.3
0.0
0.000
0.0
Ashtray Assassins
Adam Fenwick
38.3
0.0
0.000
0.0
Off to your Mom
Christian Berens
38.3
0.0
0.000
0.0
I have Downs!
Eric Bandy
38.3
0.0
0.000
0.0
Born Again Christian
Josh Essner
38.3
0.0
0.000
0.0
It Hurts
Carl Nigh
38.3
0.0
0.000
0.0
ElizondoHerbert MtnDewCamacho
Ryan P
38.3
0.0
0.000
0.0
You Got A Purdy Mouth
Blake Thompson
38.3
0.0
0.000
0.0
Just take a look at it!
Jon Liebman
38.3
0.0
0.000
0.0
Coffin Dodgers
Dan Costello
38.3
0.0
0.000
0.0
JA-MARR You Gonna Show Up?!
Matt Nigh
38.3
0.0
0.000
0.0
'Stache Bash
Lonnie Molskness
38.3
0.0
0.000
0.0
Blended difficulty accounts for the points for, winning %, and power ranking of each team's remaining opponents.
Each team's schedule is then compared to the hardest and easiest possible schedule.
